The U.S. midterm election in November is shaping up to be a referendum on Trump 2.0. We examine historical equity market performance surrounding midterm elections, and what this might be—or might not be—suggesting for this year and next.
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Emerging market (EM) equities have carried their momentum from 2025 into 2026, underpinned by tentative signs of a turning point in profitability, supportive macro themes, reasonable valuations, and broadening investor participation.